Tuesday Scenario

I plan to be hanging out a few miles east of the dry line later this afternoon. My best feel is that the red area is slightly too far west, but it’s also based on models as of early this morning and later models are a little further east. It wouldn’t surprise me at all to be in or driving through Iola at some point this evening, for the second time in four days.

It looks like the tornado risk will be very shortly after initiation, with a quick evolution to a line or line segments. If we get line segments, I might try for a tail-end Charlie play, but I think the damage from this system will come, as it did on Friday, from the winds in the line.