Monday: Definitely a Chase Day

…but the question is: where? With the hordes of chasers to be in our area Monday, space on the roads may be at a premium, and a bad forecast decision may not be recoverable due to the traffic.

That said, as the models sit at this moment (and the latest models are rolling out as I write this, so I have not seen them) I am going to be somewhere in a box bounded by K-14, US 77, US 56 and US 166. My best read at this point puts the Wichita area under the gun, perhaps in a significant way. It may come down to what boundaries are laid down by tomorrow night’s storms and just how much clearing we have ahead of the dryline. One thing to be careful of: some of our biggest storm days have been cloudy longer than was thought would give the atmosphere time to recover. Andover was one of those days. I have some concerns of a repeat.

We’ll see how that call drifts over the next 40 hours or so…