10 May 2010 @ 6:23 AM
This image, from NWS Norman, is the most concise explanation of today’s setup I’ve seen yet.
The Slight, Moderate and High-Risk areas today are indicating only the number of storms expected. Anything that goes is expected to be severe…much of it high-end. Usually, the risk areas indicate forecasters’ best feel of both the change there will be storms and how intense they’ll be. Today it’s nothing more the % risk for any 25-mile circle to get whacked.
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