Target Update

I’m going to shift my targeting thinking just a bit south – 20-30 miles or so — now that the event is within the realm of the RUC. This model is more consistent with the NAM solution, which was most consistent with other models over the weekend. The faster GFS solution seems to be the outlier now. I still think the high risk area may be adjusted west a little in the outlook update due at 8am CT.

We’re just waiting to see where the cloud deck erodes now. Still a few hours from a firm targeting decision, but I know this much: I’m not going to play with the hordes in northeast Oklahoma. I’ll take our road network over theirs any day of the week. My instinct to stay close because of risk to the Metro is staying firmly in place. Best guess right now: I’ll be putting up with cell phone frustration along US 160 a good portion of the day. I’ll take that to US 166, though.

This will probably be the last discussion in any detail – lot to get taken care of before my data session with Matt at 11, and looks like we may be on the road a bit earlier. Look for updates on Twitter: @scott_roberts and follow the video on the Live Tracker (button at the bottom).

I will post an updated graphic from GRLevel3 sometime after the SPC outlook is issued, so you can see exactly where it sits. Sometimes the small map on their site is hard to peg exactly where the line is in relation to where you are.